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＜E-Book＞
The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process : Project Management in Prevention and Support / by Marcus Hellwig
(Springer essentials. ISSN:27313115)

Edition	1st ed. 2023.
Publisher	(Cham : Springer Nature Switzerland : Imprint: Springer Vieweg)
Year	2023
Language	English
Size	XII, 77 p. 48 illus : online resource
Authors	*Hellwig, Marcus author SpringerLink (Online service)
Subjects	LCSH:Statistics  LCSH:Public health LCSH:Probabilities FREE:Applied Statistics FREE:Public Health FREE:Applied Probability
Notes	Occasion, derived from a letter to the editor -- Objectives -- SIR model as a basis for a probabilistic model -- Introduction: Consideration of an infection interval for a federal state -- The “infection curve” I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb density function -- Random ranges of NV and Eqb -- Presentation of the equibalance distribution, Eqb -- Infection management in connection with the course of the incidence -- Infection, avoidance and healing process, feedback -- Representation of a process management -- Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology -- Summary With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave". Content The "infection curve" I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb - density function Representation of a process management Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology Target Groups Virology, Departments of Health and Human Services Statistics Departments The Author Marcus Hellwig is a quality manager as qualified by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of specialist books HTTP:URL=https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-31190-1

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